Government and the macroeconomy - Monetary policy (3)
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1.
The Bank of England uses a range of monetary policy measures to influence the economy. Discuss how changes in the money supply can be used to control inflation and promote economic growth. (12 marks)
Introduction: Monetary policy is a key tool used by central banks, like the Bank of England, to manage the economy. One primary method is influencing the money supply – the total amount of money in circulation. Changes to the money supply can have significant effects on both inflation and economic growth.
How changes in the money supply control inflation:
- Reducing the money supply (Contractionary Monetary Policy): When the money supply is reduced, there is less money available for spending. This leads to:
- Increased interest rates: The Bank of England can raise interest rates, making borrowing more expensive for businesses and consumers.
- Reduced borrowing and spending: Higher interest rates discourage borrowing for investment and consumption.
- Lower aggregate demand: Reduced borrowing and spending lead to a decrease in overall demand in the economy.
- Lower inflation: With lower demand, businesses are less able to increase prices, thus curbing inflation. This is because there is less pressure on prices.
How changes in the money supply promote economic growth:
- Increasing the money supply (Expansionary Monetary Policy): When the money supply is increased, more money is available for spending. This leads to:
- Lower interest rates: The Bank of England can lower interest rates, making borrowing cheaper for businesses and consumers.
- Increased borrowing and spending: Lower interest rates encourage borrowing for investment and consumption.
- Higher aggregate demand: Increased borrowing and spending lead to a rise in overall demand in the economy.
- Economic growth: Higher demand encourages businesses to increase production, leading to job creation and economic expansion.
Limitations: The effectiveness of monetary policy can be limited by factors such as:
- Time Lags: It takes time for changes in the money supply to have a noticeable impact on the economy.
- Liquidity Trap: If interest rates are already very low, further reductions in the money supply may not stimulate economic activity.
- Global Factors: Economic growth and inflation can be influenced by factors outside of the UK's control.
Conclusion: Changes in the money supply are a powerful tool for managing the economy. The Bank of England carefully considers the potential impacts of these changes on inflation and economic growth, aiming for a balance between the two. However, the effectiveness of monetary policy is not guaranteed and is subject to various limitations.
2.
The Bank of England (BoE) uses changes in interest rates as a key tool of monetary policy. Explain how a decrease in the Bank Rate can affect the UK economy. Consider the impact on both aggregate demand and aggregate supply.
A decrease in the Bank Rate (the official interest rate set by the BoE) aims to stimulate the UK economy. It achieves this by making borrowing cheaper for banks. This has a ripple effect throughout the economy:
- Increased Borrowing by Consumers: Lower interest rates make mortgages, personal loans, and credit card borrowing more affordable. This encourages consumers to spend more.
- Increased Investment by Businesses: Businesses find it cheaper to borrow money for expansion, new equipment, and research and development. This boosts investment.
- Increased Aggregate Demand (AD): The combined effect of increased consumer spending and business investment leads to an increase in aggregate demand. This shifts the AD curve to the right.
- Impact on Aggregate Supply (AS): While the immediate impact is primarily on AD, sustained lower interest rates can eventually lead to increased AS. This happens as businesses invest and expand, increasing productive capacity. However, this effect is generally slower to materialize.
- Inflationary Pressure: An increase in AD can lead to demand-pull inflation if the economy is operating near full capacity. This is because there is more money chasing the same amount of goods and services.
- Exchange Rate Effects: Lower interest rates can make the pound less attractive to foreign investors, leading to a depreciation of the exchange rate. A weaker pound makes UK exports cheaper and imports more expensive, potentially improving the UK's trade balance and further boosting AD.
In summary, a decrease in the Bank Rate is intended to boost economic activity by encouraging spending and investment, leading to higher AD. However, it also carries the risk of inflation.
3.
Define the terms 'money supply' and 'monetary policy'. Explain how the Bank of England can use monetary policy to control the money supply.
Money Supply: The total amount of money available in an economy at a given time. This can be measured in different ways, with the most common definitions being:
- M0 (Narrow Money): Includes physical currency in circulation and commercial banks' reserves held at the Bank of England.
- M1 (Broad Money): Includes M0 plus demand deposits (checking accounts) and other checkable deposits.
- M2 (Even Broader Money): Includes M1 plus savings deposits, money market funds, and short-term deposits.
Monetary Policy: Actions undertaken by a central bank (like the Bank of England) to manipulate the money supply and credit conditions to stimulate or restrain economic activity. The main aim is to achieve price stability (control inflation) and promote economic growth.
How the Bank of England controls the money supply: The Bank of England can use several tools:
- Open Market Operations (OMO): Buying or selling government securities (like gilts).
- Buying gilts increases the money supply as the Bank of England pays for them, injecting money into the economy.
- Selling gilts decreases the money supply as the money flows from the public to the Bank of England.
- Bank Rate (Official Bank Rate): The interest rate at which the Bank of England lends money to commercial banks.
- Raising the Bank Rate makes borrowing more expensive for commercial banks, leading them to charge higher interest rates to their customers. This reduces borrowing and spending, thus reducing the money supply.
- Lowering the Bank Rate makes borrowing cheaper, encouraging banks to lend more, increasing the money supply.
- Quantitative Easing (QE): A form of OMO where the Bank of England purchases longer-term government bonds or other assets to lower long-term interest rates and increase the money supply. This is typically used when the Bank Rate is already near zero.