Atmospheric processes and global climate change (3)
Resources |
Revision Questions |
Login to see all questions
Click on a question to view the answer
1.
Question 1
'The primary driver of observed global warming is natural climate variability.' Discuss this statement, considering the evidence for both natural and anthropogenic causes of climate change. (40 marks)
Answer: This statement is demonstrably false. While natural climate variability has always played a role in Earth's climate, the overwhelming scientific consensus attributes the current rapid warming trend primarily to anthropogenic (human-caused) activities.
Evidence for Natural Variability:
- Milankovitch Cycles: Variations in Earth's orbit affect the amount and distribution of solar radiation received, leading to ice ages and warmer periods. These cycles operate over tens of thousands of years.
- Volcanic Activity: Volcanic eruptions release aerosols into the stratosphere, which can reflect sunlight and cause temporary cooling. However, the cooling effect is short-lived (a few years).
- Solar Variations: Changes in the sun's energy output can influence Earth's climate, but these variations are relatively small and cannot account for the magnitude of the current warming.
Evidence for Anthropogenic Causes:
- Greenhouse Gas Concentrations: Atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases (GHGs) like carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), and nitrous oxide (N2O) have increased dramatically since the Industrial Revolution. These increases correlate strongly with human activities such as fossil fuel combustion, deforestation, and agriculture.
- Global Temperature Records: Global average temperatures have risen significantly over the past century, particularly since the mid-20th century. This warming trend is unprecedented in recent history and is consistent with climate models that incorporate anthropogenic GHG emissions.
- Climate Models: Sophisticated climate models, which incorporate both natural and anthropogenic forcing factors, can accurately reproduce observed warming trends only when anthropogenic GHG emissions are included.
- Ocean Acidification: The absorption of excess CO2 by the oceans is causing ocean acidification, which threatens marine ecosystems. This is a direct consequence of increased atmospheric CO2.
Conclusion: While natural factors contribute to climate variability, the current rate and magnitude of warming are far beyond what can be explained by natural causes alone. The evidence overwhelmingly supports the conclusion that human activities are the dominant driver of the current global warming trend. The statement is therefore incorrect.
2.
Question 3
Evaluate the effectiveness of different strategies for mitigating climate change. Consider both technological and policy-based approaches. (40 marks)
Answer: Mitigating climate change requires a multifaceted approach involving a combination of technological and policy-based strategies. No single solution is sufficient, and the effectiveness of different strategies varies depending on the context.
Technological Mitigation Strategies:
- Renewable Energy: Transitioning from fossil fuels to renewable energy sources (solar, wind, hydro, geothermal) is crucial. This involves investment in renewable energy infrastructure, energy storage technologies, and smart grids. Advantages: Reduces GHG emissions, improves energy security. Disadvantages: Intermittency of some sources (solar, wind), high initial costs.
- Energy Efficiency: Improving energy efficiency in buildings, transportation, and industry can significantly reduce energy demand and GHG emissions. This includes measures such as insulation, efficient appliances, and fuel-efficient vehicles. Advantages: Cost-effective, reduces energy bills. Disadvantages: Requires upfront investment, can be politically challenging.
- Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS): Capturing CO2 emissions from power plants and industrial facilities and storing them underground can prevent CO2 from entering the atmosphere. Advantages: Can reduce emissions from existing fossil fuel plants. Disadvantages: High costs, potential environmental risks associated with storage.
- Afforestation and Reforestation: Planting trees can absorb CO2 from the atmosphere. Advantages: Relatively low cost, provides other environmental benefits (e.g., biodiversity, soil conservation). Disadvantages: Requires large land areas, can be slow to be effective.
Policy-Based Mitigation Strategies:
- Carbon Pricing: Putting a price on carbon emissions (e.g., through a carbon tax or cap-and-trade system) incentivizes businesses and individuals to reduce their carbon footprint. Advantages: Economically efficient, encourages innovation. Disadvantages: Can be politically unpopular, may disproportionately affect low-income households.
- Regulations and Standards: Setting regulations and standards for energy efficiency, vehicle emissions, and industrial processes can reduce GHG emissions. Advantages: Can be effective in achieving specific emission reductions. Disadvantages: Can be costly for businesses, may stifle innovation.
- International Agreements: International agreements (e.g., the Paris Agreement) can coordinate global efforts to reduce GHG emissions. Advantages: Promotes global cooperation. Disadvantages: Can be difficult to enforce, may lack ambition.
- Subsidies and Incentives: Providing subsidies and incentives for renewable energy, energy efficiency, and other low-carbon technologies can accelerate their adoption. Advantages: Encourages investment in clean technologies. Disadvantages: Can be costly, may distort markets.
Conclusion: A combination of technological and policy-based strategies is needed to effectively mitigate climate change. Carbon pricing, regulations, and international agreements are essential for driving systemic change, while technological innovation is crucial for developing and deploying low-carbon solutions. The effectiveness of these strategies depends on factors such as political will, economic incentives, and public support. A sustained and coordinated effort is required to achieve meaningful emission reductions and limit the impacts of climate change.
3.
Question 2
Describe the role of greenhouse gases in the Earth's climate system. Explain how human activities have altered the concentration of these gases and the consequences of this alteration. (40 marks)
Answer: Greenhouse gases (GHGs) play a crucial role in regulating Earth's temperature. They allow shortwave solar radiation to pass through the atmosphere to the Earth's surface, but they absorb much of the outgoing longwave radiation (heat) emitted by the Earth. This absorption traps heat in the atmosphere, creating the greenhouse effect. Without the natural greenhouse effect, Earth would be far too cold to support life.
Role of Key Greenhouse Gases:
- Carbon Dioxide (CO2): The most significant long-lived GHG, primarily released through the burning of fossil fuels, deforestation, and industrial processes.
- Methane (CH4): A potent GHG with a shorter atmospheric lifetime than CO2. Sources include livestock farming, natural gas and petroleum production, and decomposition of organic matter in wetlands.
- Nitrous Oxide (N2O): Released from agricultural activities (fertilizer use), industrial processes, and the burning of fossil fuels. It has a very high global warming potential.
- Fluorinated Gases (F-gases): Synthetic gases used in refrigeration, aerosols, and industrial applications. They are extremely potent GHGs with very long atmospheric lifetimes.
Human Alteration of GHG Concentrations:
Human activities have significantly increased the concentration of GHGs in the atmosphere, particularly since the Industrial Revolution. This increase is primarily due to the burning of fossil fuels (coal, oil, and natural gas) for energy, deforestation (which reduces the number of trees that absorb CO2), and intensive agriculture (which releases methane and nitrous oxide). The following table summarises the approximate global warming potential and atmospheric lifetime of some key GHGs:
Cell | Gase | Global Warming Potential (CO2=1) | Atmospheric Lifetime |
1 | Carbon Dioxide (CO2) | 1 | Variable (100-200 years) |
2 | Methane (CH4) | 25 | 12 years |
3 | Nitrous Oxide (N2O) | 298 | 114 years |
4 | Fluorinated Gases (e.g., HFCs) | Varies (thousands) | Varies (1 year - thousands of years) |
Consequences of Altered GHG Concentrations:
- Global Warming: Increased GHG concentrations trap more heat, leading to a rise in global average temperatures.
- Climate Change: Warming temperatures lead to changes in weather patterns, including more frequent and intense heatwaves, droughts, floods, and storms.
- Sea Level Rise: Warming temperatures cause glaciers and ice sheets to melt, and ocean water to expand, leading to sea level rise.
- Ocean Acidification: Increased CO2 absorption by the oceans leads to ocean acidification, which threatens marine ecosystems.