7 Expert systems (3)
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1.
An expert system is a computer program designed to emulate the decision-making ability of a human expert. Discuss three different applications of expert systems across various industries, explaining how they function and the benefits they offer. Support your answer with specific examples.
Expert systems have found widespread application across numerous industries due to their ability to provide consistent, reliable, and rapid decision-making. Here are three examples:
- Medical Diagnosis: Expert systems like MYCIN (historically) and modern systems used in hospitals assist doctors in diagnosing diseases. They function by using a knowledge base of medical facts and rules, combined with an inference engine, to analyze patient symptoms and suggest possible diagnoses. The benefits include improved diagnostic accuracy, reduced medical errors, and faster diagnosis times. For example, an expert system could analyze a patient's symptoms (fever, cough, chest pain) and medical history to suggest a diagnosis of pneumonia or influenza, prompting further tests.
- Financial Investment: Expert systems are used by financial institutions to assess investment risks and make trading decisions. These systems analyze market data, economic indicators, and company financials to identify profitable investment opportunities and mitigate potential losses. Benefits include improved investment returns, reduced risk, and automated trading. A system might analyze stock market trends and company news to recommend buying or selling a particular stock.
- Geological Exploration: In the oil and gas industry, expert systems are used to analyze seismic data and identify potential drilling locations. These systems use geological knowledge and sophisticated algorithms to interpret complex data patterns and predict the presence of oil and gas deposits. Benefits include reduced exploration costs, increased discovery rates, and improved resource management. The system analyzes seismic wave reflections to identify underground geological formations that may contain hydrocarbons.
2.
Question 1
Describe the key components of an expert system and explain how these components interact to enable the system to provide advice or solve problems.
An expert system typically comprises the following key components:
- Knowledge Base: This stores the domain-specific knowledge, often represented as rules (e.g., "IF condition THEN conclusion"). It's the core of the system's expertise.
- Inference Engine: This is the reasoning mechanism that applies the knowledge in the knowledge base to new facts or queries. It uses techniques like forward chaining and backward chaining.
- User Interface: This allows users to interact with the system, providing input and receiving explanations or solutions.
- Knowledge Acquisition Module: This facilitates the process of extracting knowledge from human experts and encoding it into the knowledge base.
- Explanation Facility: This explains the reasoning process used to arrive at a conclusion, increasing user trust and understanding.
These components interact as follows: The user provides input through the user interface. The inference engine uses this input, along with the knowledge base, to deduce new facts. The explanation facility then explains the reasoning steps. The knowledge acquisition module continuously updates the knowledge base with new information from experts, improving the system's accuracy and scope.
3.
Question 3
Describe the structure of a rule base in an expert system. Include an example of a rule and explain the significance of using a rule-based approach.
A rule base in an expert system is a collection of rules that represent the system's knowledge. Each rule typically consists of two parts:
| IF (antecedent) THEN (consequent) |
Example of a rule:
IF the patient has a cough AND the patient has a fever THEN the patient may have a cold.
The antecedent is the condition (or premise) that must be true for the rule to be applied. The consequent is the conclusion (or action) that is taken if the antecedent is true.
The rule-based approach is significant because it allows for:
- Representing complex knowledge in a clear and understandable way. Rules are often expressed in a language that is relatively easy for humans to comprehend.
- Easy modification and extension of the knowledge base. New rules can be added or existing rules can be modified without significantly affecting the rest of the system.
- Handling uncertainty and incomplete information. Rules can be designed to handle situations where not all information is available.
- Providing explanations for conclusions. The reasoning process can be traced through the rules that were applied.